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Ethiopia is the biggest African producer
Coffee land
‘000 hectares, 2014
562
Production share
Global & region
5th in world
1st in Africa
Production
‘000 tons, 2014
420
Varieties
Arabica-Robusta
100% A
0% R
~80% of total land is in need of R&R
‘000 hectares
Need is primarily driven by old trees (50-70 years in some places) and suboptimal current practices. Climate change is looking to have minimal impact on Ethiopia.
+114%
Significant uplift potential given low current SHF yields
~20-80%
Total national supply could increase ~20-80% if R&R and GAP is implemented on all SHF land in need of R&R2
Notes:
(1) Average yield is calculated as the total SHF production divided by the total SHF land. The potential yield improvement is estimated by GCP and Technoserve, Economic Viability of Coffee Farming, 2017.
(2) Rounded to the nearest 5%, estimate assumes that R&R and GAP increase yields with 114%, and the range reflects a 25-100% R&R success rate Sources: FAO Statistics database; ICO statistics; GCP and Technoserve, Economic Viability of Coffee Farming, 2017; Government ofEthiopia, Global Transformation Plan II, 2015; The world Bank, Credit constraints and farm productivity: Micro-level evidence from smallholder farmers in Ethiopia, 2017, Ethiopian Agricultural Transformation Agency, Annual Report, 2016; Dalberg interviews
Most SHFs are at the bottom of the pyramid
National production is dominated by SHFs
The majority of SHFs are either in loose value chains or weakly connected value chains, with unstable links to market. SHF organizations are generally mismanaged and lack capacity.
# SHFs
‘000
2,500
10% - 12.5% of global SHFs1
# SHF land
‘000 hectares
550
(~98% of national land) – average farm size ~0.5-2 hectares
# SHF production
‘000 hectares
380
(~90% of national production)
Assessment of SHF orgs
Nascent coop sector that gradually improves – ~10%of SHFs are linked to coops
Links to market
A majority of SHFs have loose and weak links tomarket
Notes:
(1) Assuming a global SHF population of 20 million – estimates for Ethiopian SHFs vary widely;
(2) This would bring Ethiopian production at the level of the Brazilian production. This objective is unlikely to be met in such a short timeframe, but itgives positive signals to the coffee sector. Sources: FAO Statistics database; ICO statistics; GCP and Technoserve, Economic Viability of Coffee Farming, 2017; Government of Ethiopia, Global Transformation Plan II, 2015; The world Bank, Credit constraints and farm productivity: Micro-level evidence from smallholder farmers in Ethiopia, 2017, Ethiopian Agricultural Transformation Agency, Annual Report, 2016; Dalberg interviews
Past R&R programs have focused on increasing adoption of GAP and building SHF org. capacity
TechnoServe - The Coffee Initiative
2008-2017
Technoserve trained (via Farmer Field Schools) roughly 80,000 Ethiopian SHFs on GAP and rehabilitation practices
There is a lot of work to be done to ensure the long-term supply of coffee from countries where the crop has long shaped the social and economic fabric. Learning to extend the life of their trees and improve yields helps farmers stabilize annual production and in turn, income, while the rest of the world benefits from a steady supply of quality coffee. Continue on to learn more about the immediate attention and action that is required to make this a reality.